Really good podcast episode by a bunch of political/data geeks.

Source: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/politics-podcast-what-does-ocasio-cortezs-win-tell-us-about-the-democratic-party/

🙂

Ragnarok Lobster (@eclecticbrotha) Tweeted:
RT @allanbrauer: ::clears throat::

Ocasio-Cortez obliterated the incumbent under the exact same restrictive, closed NY primary rules that… https://twitter.com/allanbrauer/status/1011998666234552320?s=17

Maybe it’s hard to know when to be “civil” and when to go full-bore, but here’s what it looked like once in the past.

Unrolled thread: https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1007301941540655106.html

«Angus Johnston (@studentactivism) Tweeted:
Okay. I’ve found it. The absolute culmination of the “we have to build bridges with the far right” argument. https://t.co/PpMHELNIe1»

From another thread of his on how he regards “antifa”:

«Angus Johnston (@studentactivism) Tweeted:
Do I entirely trust what happens when you give someone a mask and a club and a sense of moral rectitude? Nope nope nope. Hell no. https://twitter.com/studentactivism/status/903014218810712065?s=17»

https://www.theonion.com/tips-for-staying-civil-while-debating-child-prisons-1827147411

«Recall that violently rejecting a tyrannical government goes against everything our forefathers believed in.»

Source: https://overland.org.au/2018/06/a-brief-fascist-history-of-i-dont-care/

Everybody’s analyzing the dickens out of Melania’s jacket, so I’ll add my two cents. I think it’s (maybe) subversive. If her jacket just said “Me ne frego”, that’d be one thing, but it ends with a query that really demands an answer: “I really don’t care. Do you?” I’m willing to credit someone from a formerly communist country with a little subtlety.

«This article was sparked by the jacket that Melania Trump wore as she travelled to a detention camp for migrant children, but my intent isn’t to argue that she or her staff chose that jacket in order to send a coded message to the president’s far-right followers. It is, rather, to highlight some of the historical echoes of that phrase – ‘I don’t care’.»

Calum (@MrMakeFun) Tweeted:
Right: Let’s do genocide
Left: Let’s not do genocide
Center: Guys, you’re gonna have to compromise, let’s just do /some/ genocide
Right: I guess I can live with that for now
Left: No
Center: See, this is why no one likes the left, you guys are the real extremists, smh https://twitter.com/MrMakeFun/status/1010802842142113792?s=17

Wheee!

https://www.frbsf.org/economic-research/files/el2018-07.pdf

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/06/25/business/what-is-yield-curve-recession-prediction.html?login=email&auth=login-email

(Looks like the only time it missed was around 1966, although maybe around 1977 there was a pretty long lead-time.)

Source: https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2018/06/a-history-of-evangelical-fear/563558/

«JOHN FEA is a professor of American history at Messiah College. He is the author of Believe Me: The Evangelical Road to Donald Trump.»

Interesting. Reads a bit like a sermon.

(I really wanted to use “Christianists” instead of “Christians”, because I think it’s a good way to sum up a particular strain of thought, but that’s a little off-putting, given who I think really should be reading this piece.)

Was researching shrinkage in numbers of self-identifying Republicans and found this.

http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2018/04/elderly-white-voters-are-starting-to-turn-on-the-gop.html

«While older whites with college diplomas have swung left by 12 points since 2016, those without bachelor’s degrees have remained solidly in the GOP’s camp.

….

John Camm has been a Republican since the Nixon Administration, but the 63-year-old Tucson accountant says he will likely support a Democrat for Congress in November. He is splitting with his party over access to health insurance as well as its recent overhaul of the nation’s income tax system. He also supports gun control measures that the party has rejected.

“I’m a moderate Republican, and yet my party has run away from that,” Camm said. “So give me a moderate Democrat.”

….
Republicans have sought consolation in the fact that core Democratic constituencies (like nonwhite and younger voters) have historically failed to turn out for midterms in high numbers. But the Democrats’ turnout advantage in the past year’s special elections put a dent in that hope — and the leftward lurch of elderly whites all but eviscerates it. Older, college-educated whites are among the most reliable voters in the nation.»

«Seth Moulton (@sethmoulton) Tweeted:
In the Marines, you can fail a run, you can fail a test. They’ll give you a second chance. But if you lie about anything, you’re gone. That’s how important integrity is. Those who lack the courage to be honest can’t be trusted to lead us. It’s time for you to step down. https://t.co/gPmicwFwrM https://twitter.com/sethmoulton/status/1009459917013573638?s=17»