«For now, this much is clear: Which pollsters have surveyed a state most recently is a big factor in determining whether the numbers look better for Republicans or Democrats. And this year, the polls that are driving the average are quite different.»
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/05/upshot/polling-averages-midterm-election.html
Maybe don’t quite believe the polls?
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Here, Read This 