Difficulty of prediction

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http://library.rumsfeld.com/doclib/sp/2382/2001-04-12%20To%20George%20W%20Bush%20et%20al%20re%20Predicting%20the%20Future.pdf#search=%22Lin%20Wells%20quadrennial%20review%22

Seems like a classic memo by Lin Wells (forwarded by Donald Rumsfeld to George W. Bush) in 2001 regarding the upcoming quadrennial review by… the Department of Defense?

(Five months later, 9/11 occurred.)

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