Just want to point out that 538 gives both NYT (/CBS) & Siena an “A” rating in terms of quality of pollster.
«The Times/Siena results and other data suggest that the president’s advantage in the Electoral College relative to the nation as a whole remains intact or has even grown since 2016, raising the possibility that the Republicans could — for the third time in the past six elections — win the presidency while losing the popular vote.»