@NateSilver538 thinks the midterms just represent a swing back to status quo ante


Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) Tweeted:

«Another underrated fact is how well Democratic incumbents are doing in *states* that shifted from Obama to Trump. The Midwestern D senators in OH, WI, PA and MI are all poised to win re-election, probably easily. That suggests a mean-reverting election more than a realigning one.»

I.e., not a sea change.

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