Who is Trump targeting? There’s a pattern | Vox

https://www.vox.com/politics/405489/trump-deportations-gang-pro-palestine-spech-power-grab

«“Oh, so you oppose sending people to be tortured in a Salvadoran prison camp without due process? Guess you must support Tren de Aragua killing little girls.”»

«The Trump administration’s rhetoric doesn’t just attempt to link their opponents in general to gang members and terrorists. They also attempt to link judges and other nonpartisan authorities to Democrats.

Eminent Holocaust historian Christopher Browning has written several essays in the New York Review of Books that document what he calls “troubling similarities” between interwar Germany and America today. One of Browning’s key points is that the rise of Nazism was, in large part, a cautionary tale about “hyperpolarization.” The German center-right elite hated the left parties so much that they preferred Hitler, who was extreme even to their tastes — and were willing to hand him exceptional powers to crack down on civil liberties in service of crushing socialism and communism.

While Browning focuses his ire on conservative elites — he compares Sen. Mitch McConnell to Paul von Hindenburg, the German president who made Hitler chancellor — social science tells us that polarization can have a similar effect on ordinary voters.

Using unusually high-quality data, Svolik and Graham were able to show that vanishingly few Americans — roughly 3.45 percent — were willing to vote against a candidate from their preferred party even if that candidate engaged in clear anti-democratic behavior.»

Yeehaa.

«This analysis was critically important to understanding why Trump could win in 2024 even after the stain of January 6. Today, it helps us understand how Trump’s rhetorical strategies hope to numb Americans — and especially fellow Republicans — to an assault on their fundamental liberties.»

So, the thing is (and this has been said before): it is a VERY long way to the bottom before die-hard Trump voters are suffering directly. I think we need an appeal to morality way before that.

“Have you no decency? At long last, have you no decency?”

What the Venezuelans Deported to El Salvador Experienced | Time

https://time.com/7269604/el-salvador-photos-venezuelan-detainees/

Do not turn away, as much as you want to. This is being done in our name.

«After being shaved, the detainees were stripped naked. More of them began to whimper; the hard faces I saw on the plane had evaporated. It was like looking at men who passed through a time machine. In two hours, they aged 10 years. Their nice clothes were not gathered or catalogued but simply thrust into black garbage bags to be thrown out with their hair.

They entered their cold cells, 80 men per cell, with steel planks for bunks, no mats, no sheets, no pillow. No television. No books. No talking. No phone calls and no visitors. For these Venezuelans, it was not just a prison they had arrived at. It was exile to another world, a place so cold and far from home they may as well have been sent into space, nameless and forgotten. Holding my camera, it was as if I watched them become ghosts.»

Transgender Women  Athletes and Elite Sport:  A Scientific Review

«Once women were allowed into competitive sport in the early 20th century, those whose athletic ability was on par with their male counterparts, or whose physique was too manly, were disqualified from competition as deviants of the gender order. Through the history of women’s sport, female athletes have been exposed to intrusive gender verification processes including medical inspection of external genitalia and chromosome testing that produced many false positives and had catastrophic impacts on athletes’ careers. The current climate is one that focuses on testosterone levels of those athletes whose gender is deemed to be ‘suspicious.’

the literature shows that no trans woman has ever won an Olympic medal ever since they have been allowed to compete in 2004 (Ivy and Friedlaender, 2020).»

Don’t even need to look into theories about testosterone, although this paper does that, too.

https://cces.ca/sites/default/files/content/docs/2024-01/transgender-women-athletes-and-elitesport-a-scientific-review-en.pdf (PDF; no, I did not read the whole thing).

Reached via https://www.commondreams.org/opinion/trans-moral-panic-falsespor

America Is Watching the Rise of a Dual State | The Atlantic

https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2025/05/trump-executive-order-lawlessness-constitutional-crisis/682112/?gift=ly-h2TZGdDJyaoFv6n-KaWaMnpmW_Dq4hLbK7nzavVc&utm_source=copy-link&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=share (gift)

«For that reason, it shouldn’t come as a surprise that Trump’s lawyers—despite running roughshod over Congress, the states, the press, and the civil service—were somewhat slower to defy the federal courts, and have fast-tracked cases to the Supreme Court, seeking a judicial imprimatur for novel presidential powers. The courts, unlike the legislature, remain useful to an autocrat in a dual state.

Building a dual state need not end in genocide: Vladimir Putin’s Russia and Lee Kuan Yew’s Singapore have followed the same model of the dual state that Fraenkel described, though neither has undertaken a mass-killing operation as the Nazis did. Their deepest similarity, rather, is that both are intolerant of political dissent and leave the overwhelming majority of citizens alone. The peril of the dual state lies precisely in this capacity for targeted suppression. Most people can ignore the construction of the prerogative state simply because it does not touch their lives. They can turn away while dissidents and scapegoats lose their political liberty. But once the prerogative state is built, as Fraenkel’s writing and experience suggest, it can swallow anyone.»

Oy. It’s really happening, isn’t it?

I wonder what Francis Fukuyama is writing now?

(Nonilex summarizes thusly: https://masto.ai/@Nonilex/114212108382310285 .)

‘Measles Are Good For You’ Say Parents Whose Kid Died Because Of Measles

A little theology from Wonkette:

«The couple helpfully explained that the child’s death was actually the will of God, who they believe wanted to spare her from this terrible world. To be fair, I suppose he would not have had that opportunity had the girl been vaccinated, but if he were really committed to killing a six-year-old child, I’m sure he’d find a way.»

https://www.wonkette.com/p/measles-are-good-for-you-say-parents

Germany approves massive spending package to boost defense – The Washington Post

«Under the plan approved by the Bundestag, defense spending above 1 percent of gross domestic product would be exempted from Germany’s constitutionally enshrined debt brake. Proponents of the brake, which limits the structural budget deficit to 0.35 percent of GDP except in emergencies, cherish it as a pillar of Germany’s signature fiscal responsibility. Critics call it a fiscal straitjacket.»

https://wapo.st/41JvTlu (gift)

This seems like a big deal.

Nonprofit’s Leader Convicted of Siphoning Off $240 Million in Federal Food Aid – The New York Times

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/19/us/nonprofit-leader-convicted-federal-food-aid.html?unlocked_article_code=1.5U4.pEAv.Y-tWy6yDsAK2&smid=url-share (gift)

«At least 70 people were charged in the scheme, and more than 40 have already pleaded guilty or been convicted.

The fraud scheme targeted two programs meant to feed hungry children, which were funded by the U.S. Department of Agriculture but administered by the state of Minnesota. [Hey, Farenthold, would be nice to know the total spent on such programs, for perspective, ya know? Looks like around $400 BILLION in cash in 2020 ($600 bil cash in ’21), based on https://www.urban.org/features/six-charts-about-federal-spending-children-during-pandemic?&utm_medium=urban_newsletters&utm_source=news-UIU&utm_term=URBAN, if my figgerin’ is right. So, $240 MILLION is a drop in the bucket.] The system relied on nonprofit groups called “sponsors” to be its watchdogs. They were supposed to oversee individual kitchens and feeding sites and make sure they were not inflating the number of children they served.

When the Covid-19 pandemic hit, the federal government flooded money into the program — trying to reach children who were out of school and therefore unable to rely on school lunches. The government also relaxed oversight, putting even more trust in the watchdogs.

In this case, prosecutors said, one of those watchdogs went bad.

Many of the fake operations submitted invoices for implausibly large numbers of children: Mr. Said’s operation, for instance, said it had fed 6,000 a day, more than all the children in its ZIP code. In another instance, a man said he was feeding 5,000 children a night — from a location that turned out to be a second-floor apartment.

The state of Minnesota had grown suspicious of Ms. Bock’s network in 2020 and tried to stop payment to some of the sites. But she sued the state government, saying officials were discriminating against her network because it served many African immigrants and their children.»

Trump/Musk will, of course, seize on this.

[Edit: this is what built-in auditing and inspectors general are meant for, and it appears to have worked as designed. The sort of stuff Trump/Musk have eliminated.]

This is why Kamala Harris really lost | Vox

LOTS of good stuff in this article (turnout doesn’t help; the party needs to be more progressive but not go overboard; etc.), but I’m gonna zoom in and focus on AI for a split second:

«I’m not an AI expert by any means, but AI capabilities are increasing dramatically. And AI experts are very, very bullish on the extent to which AI systems are going to be able to replace some fraction of jobs. The prediction markets say this, too. And I think something that’s really important is that **regardless of whether it’s going to happen or not, the public believes it will happen**. [emphasis mine.]»

https://www.vox.com/politics/403364/tik-tok-young-voters-2024-election-democrats-david-shor