What AOC Gets that Bernie Didn’t – POLITICO

https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2020/04/16/sean-mcelwee-interview-aoc-sanders-191702

I guess the passing of the baton (from one generation to the next, not from Bernie to AOC) is already beginning?

«I think there are 50,000 Bernie-to-Trump voters, and they all have Twitter accounts. They’re an incredibly small portion of the electorate.

….

I also think progressives need to focus on building power down ballot. We always complain that Obama failed to do this, but we seem to forget it the second we start thinking about our own movement: This year, a progressive came within four points of beating [conservative Democratic congressman] Henry Cuellar. Every progressive who’s doing an autopsy of the presidential primary should be doing an autopsy of why we didn’t invest more in that race. There’s been an utter neglect of down-ballot work.

….

And we’re going to have to do the hard work of reaching out to non-ideological Democrats who don’t see the world our way. I mean, look at [conservative Democratic congressman] Dan Lipinski, we finally beat him, and that’s great, but he still got nearly 50 percent of Democratic voters—not because he’s pro-life, but because he sits on the transportation committee and works with local unions to represent their interests. We can’t forget about that kind of basic politics. Bernie Sanders always made sure to deliver for Vermont. [Wisconsin Senator] Tammy Baldwin is a great progressive, and she’s got a big interest in single-payer health care, but she also has a big interest in cheese. It’s OK for progressives to care about cheese.»

Not sure how that last part is news, but ok, maybe it is for some people.

What AOC Gets that Bernie Didn’t – POLITICO

https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2020/04/16/sean-mcelwee-interview-aoc-sanders-191702

«I think there are 50,000 Bernie-to-Trump voters, and they all have Twitter accounts. They’re an incredibly small portion of the electorate.

….

I also think progressives need to focus on building power down ballot. We always complain that Obama failed to do this, but we seem to forget it the second we start thinking about our own movement: This year, a progressive came within four points of beating [conservative Democratic congressman] Henry Cuellar. Every progressive who’s doing an autopsy of the presidential primary should be doing an autopsy of why we didn’t invest more in that race. There’s been an utter neglect of down-ballot work.

….

And we’re going to have to do the hard work of reaching out to non-ideological Democrats who don’t see the world our way. I mean, look at [conservative Democratic congressman] Dan Lipinski, we finally beat him, and that’s great, but he still got nearly 50 percent of Democratic voters—not because he’s pro-life, but because he sits on the transportation committee and works with local unions to represent their interests. We can’t forget about that kind of basic politics. Bernie Sanders always made sure to deliver for Vermont. [Wisconsin Senator] Tammy Baldwin is a great progressive, and she’s got a big interest in single-payer health care, but she also has a big interest in cheese. It’s OK for progressives to care about cheese.»

Not sure how that last part is news, but ok, maybe it is for some people.

People make less than you think

https://twitter.com/BostonJerry/status/1250449452994789376?s=20

Peter Pandemic (@BostonJerry) Tweeted: If you think everyone in the country is making more than they actually are, you’re less likely to band together and demand a more fair economy. But the truth is everyone in the country is making *less* than you think, and we *need* to band together to make the economy more fair.

Economics vs. Epidemiology: Quantifying the Trade-Off

https://www.wsj.com/articles/economics-vs-epidemiology-quantifying-the-trade-off-11586982855

Wall Street Journal with the cold-hearted numbers. Conclusion: the lives saved are worth the economic pain, although, as always: can we do it cheaper?

«Federal regulators put the statistical value of a life at around $10 million.

….

In a March paper, Michael Greenstone and Vishan Nigam of the University of Chicago assign a lower value to older people and a higher one for the young. On that basis, they conclude that three months of social distancing could save 1.7 million lives worth $8 trillion.

So much for the benefit. What about the cost? Economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal forecast annual GDP growth of 0.9% through 2022. That is down from a forecast of 1.9% in January, before social-distancing measures were adopted. I estimate that amounts to a loss of $3 trillion in today’s dollars. So in this accounting sense, the trade-off is worth it.»

How urban or rural is your state? + COVID-19 stats

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-urban-or-rural-is-your-state-and-what-does-that-mean-for-the-2020-election/

Interesting how urban Texas and Arizona are.

«How urban or rural is your state?

FiveThirtyEight’s partisan lean and urbanization index for each state»

STATEPARTISAN LEANURBANIZATION INDEXSTATEPARTISAN LEANURBANIZATION INDEX
New YorkD+2212.56North CarolinaR+510.32
New JerseyD+1312.24MissouriR+1910.20
CaliforniaD+2412.19NebraskaR+2410.20
MassachusettsD+2911.84TennesseeR+2810.20
NevadaR+111.77WisconsinR+110.19
Rhode IslandD+2611.72LouisianaR+1710.18
MarylandD+2311.71KansasR+2310.12
IllinoisD+1311.62South CarolinaR+1710.11
FloridaR+511.46OklahomaR+349.94
ConnecticutD+1111.41New HampshireR+29.92
ArizonaR+911.30New MexicoD+79.90
TexasR+1711.17KentuckyR+239.79
ColoradoD+111.15AlabamaR+279.61
PennsylvaniaR+111.15IdahoR+359.59
WashingtonD+1211.12IowaR+69.59
HawaiiD+3611.09ArkansasR+249.26
DelawareD+1411.01West VirginiaR+309.11
UtahR+3110.96North DakotaR+339.05
VirginiaEVEN10.91MaineD+59.04
OhioR+710.88MississippiR+158.91
MichiganD+110.81VermontD+248.84
OregonD+910.71AlaskaR+158.74
GeorgiaR+1210.55South DakotaR+318.73
MinnesotaD+210.46MontanaR+188.47
IndianaR+1810.41WyomingR+478.26
Partisan lean is the average difference between how a state votes and how the country votes overall, with 2016 presidential election results weighted at 50 percent, 2012 presidential election results weighted at 25 percent and results from elections for the state legislature weighted at 25 percent. Note that FiveThirtyEight’s current partisan leans do not yet incorporate the results of the 2018 election.

FiveThirtyEight’s urbanization index is calculated as the natural logarithm of the average number of people living within a five-mile radius of a given resident.

SOURCE: AMERICAN COMMUNITY SURVEY

(Don’t know how important it is that 538’s partisan lean figures don’t include 2018 election. That election seems to have been a Pretty Big Deal.)

Now, couple that with whatever per-state COVID-19 stats you like. I’m assuming cold-weather states like Alaska and Vermont have a lot of people indoors (i.e., in close proximity), but Mississippi might a good rural state to track. Or West Virginia, if you think structural racism might affect the figures. Or both, really, MS and WV.

Tweet from Drain The Trumps 🇺🇸 (@DrainTheTrumps)

Drain The Trumps 🇺🇸 (@DrainTheTrumps) Tweeted: Also buried in the Wisconsin election results is a “FUCK YOUR GERRYMANDERING @GOP” referendum that squeaked by with 80% of the vote. https://t.co/zklpvglczb

https://twitter.com/DrainTheTrumps/status/1249858873831370760?s=20

I’m guessing this is the beginning of a 10-15-year journey that will eventually result in the will of the people being enacted, as Republicans deny, deny, deny that this is valid.

How Joe Biden won over Bernie Sanders — and the Democratic Party – Vox

https://www.vox.com/2020/4/13/21219715/bernie-sanders-joe-biden-endorsement-democratic-primary-2020

«One concern liberals and leftists have long had with Biden is his instinct for cutting deals means he’ll sell them out to the right to win Republican votes. Maybe so. But what Biden is proving in this campaign is he’s just as willing to cut deals with the left, and his coalitional approach to politics is an opportunity for them to influence him, as well.»