Category Archives: Uncategorized

Tariffs again

Everybody’s freaking out again, and we’ll see how all this shakes out, but… waivers and favors, baby. Waivers and favors.

Kind of amazing to me that 30% of eligible Americans actively voted for this while another 30% said, “whatever y’all decide, it’s fine with me,” but whatever… đŸ€·â€â™‚ïž

Does Higher Turnout Now Help Republicans? A Data-Driven Analysis of Partisan Turnout Dynamics (Part 1)

https://data4democracy.substack.com/p/does-higher-turnout-now-help-republicans

«Registered Democrats made up a much larger share of non-voters (15.2 million or 38.8%) than registered Republicans (7.7 million or 19.6%), with Independents/Other affiliations constituting the largest group (16.3 million or 41.6%). This means that nearly twice as many Democrats as Republicans sat out the election—a stark contrast to claims that increased turnout would benefit Republicans.»

«The data reveals that Republicans consistently turn out at higher rates than Democrats—often by substantial margins—regardless of which sample definition we use.»

«These findings run counter to claims that higher turnout would benefit Republicans. While 2024 patterns may differ from previous cycles, the historical evidence is clear: across multiple recent elections, non-voters have maintained a consistent and substantial Democratic lean—often by substantial margins.

We’ll have more definitive evidence when the 2024 CCES data is released, but the existing survey data provides no support for the narrative that non-voters now favor Republicans.»

So, voter suppression remains the name of the game.

«One reason to be concerned about embracing the narrative that increased turnout hurts Democrats is that it would discourage the party from adopting the vocally pro-voting messaging that helped fuel their success in the 2018 midterms. In that election, Democrats successfully mobilized their lower-propensity voters, achieving extraordinary turnout for a midterm election—even as measures of ideology showed Democratic candidates as a group veering to the left.»

«Ultimately, this debate will be settled by data, not theory. When the 2024 CCES results become available, we’ll be able to directly test whether non-voters have indeed shifted toward Republicans as dramatically as Shor suggests.

For now, the evidence from voter files and recent survey data points to a different conclusion: Democrats’ primary challenge isn’t that high turnout inherently favors Republicans, but that they’re consistently losing the mobilization battle with their own registered supporters.»

*”Imperial Mercenary: Decline and Fall of the Galactic Empire Book 3″* by Andrew Moriarty

«“Why are you looking at me?” Dirk said. “Are you saying—”

“He’s not saying anything to you, Navy. Relax,” Ana said, spooning the last of his tray into his mouth. “He’s not saying you can’t do two things at once.”

“Okay,” Dirk said.

“Watching your landings, you can’t even do one thing at once. We’d all be happy if you could get that worked out.”

“My landings are—”

“Horrifying,” Lee said.

“Unskilled,” Gavin said.

“Sickening,” Dena said.

“Great fun. Exciting,” Scruggs said.»

😀

*”Imperial Mercenary: Decline and Fall of the Galactic Empire Book 3″* by Andrew Moriarty.

Trump executive order on Smithsonian targets funding for programs with ‘improper ideology’

I was absolutely not kidding about museums:

«The order he signed behind closed doors puts Vice President JD Vance, who serves on the Smithsonian Institution’s Board of Regents, in charge of overseeing efforts to “remove improper ideology” from all areas of the institution, including its museums, education and research centers, and the National Zoo.»

https://apnews.com/article/trump-smithsonian-executive-order-improper-ideology-558ebfab722f603e94e02a1a4b06ed4d

My Most Dangerous ER Experience and How My Advocate Saved My Life

«They once again were making it clear they were going to send us home with no help – so my boyfriend blocked the door and said he was NOT taking me home until they ran additional tests. He had to use his large physical presence to get attention – he got loud and said “if I take her home she’s going to die.” They threatened to call security but he held his ground and said they could call whoever they wanted – we weren’t leaving without tests.

This tactic may not be safe for everyone. We were fortunate that this occurred in Canada and that he was white
 the situation never escalated to physical violence. It absolutely could have and I’m grateful every day that it didn’t. They did threaten to call the police for ‘trespassing’ but he sternly told them that if they did that he would tell the police that they had been refusing me even the most basic of tests.

Thankfully – a doctor overheard the exchange and finally came to see me. At this point we had only seen nurses and security guards. This doctor took one look at me – pale, sweaty, breathless and curled up in the fetal position – and immediately ordered an ultrasound and extensive lab work.

As soon as the ultrasound and blood work came back I was being injected with high doses of IV antibiotics, pain medication and rushed for a CT scan. I had a flurry of doctors and nurses around me and most looked panicked. It turns out they saw a large shadow on the scan that indicated either a perforated bowel or abscess and my blood work showed I had a life threatening infection and needed another round of blood transfusions.

It had become so serious that the hospital we were at couldn’t even treat me – and I had to be transported to a larger hospital nearby.»

https://www.disabledginger.com/p/my-most-dangerous-er-experience-and

I just kind of skimmed until I got to that part. 😼

So, this was years ago, but even so: you’d think if somebody had been to the ER four times after surgery with complaints but no tests, they’d run a test. Patients need advocates, I guess.