Author Archives: John Lusk

Trump Is Wrong About Fentanyl in Almost Every Way – The New York Times

Really good essay.

«The United States truly did need new approaches to widespread undertreated pain, and unleashing the private sector to offer them had strong political appeal in the anti-regulatory zeal of the Reagan era. Moreover, the scare over crack cocaine in the 1980s had associated addiction with urban racial minorities. Opioid marketers targeted white parts of the country, benefiting from the widespread stereotype that good heartland consumers (“patients”) were unlikely to become addicted.

Of course, race has no impact on someone’s risk of addiction. Trauma does, though. Research suggests that experiences of significant trauma increase the chance that a person will develop an addiction after using drugs. In the 1990s, as opioid sales boomed, rural and small-town white areas were suffering from unemployment, population decline and the erosion of social institutions such as labor unions and churches. The huge industry-driven expansion of opioid white markets [vs. black markets] in these already struggling communities led to a similarly huge rise in addiction.

…

People with addiction are strongly motivated to continue using drugs, however. Increasingly unable to buy in white markets, they formed a large potential consumer base for illicit opioids. In the 2010s, new suppliers emerged to meet the demand.

This moment of market disruption in the flow of opioids led to innovations that echoed the 21st century’s e-commerce revolution. Old supply chains moved heroin from poppy fields to central markets in major U.S. cities; traffickers in the 2010s built new supply chains bringing synthetic products such as fentanyl sourced with chemicals from China to American consumers wherever they lived — including the rural areas and small towns struck by the opioid crisis.

Which is to say: Fentanyl traffickers were responding to consumer demand. They did not create it. The opioid crisis initially struck white areas not because of a conspiracy to destroy heartland America. Rather, it was a devastatingly ironic result of white Americans’ privileged access to the medical system. Physicians’ willingness to recognize and treat their pain opened their communities to pharmaceutical companies’ flood of opioids. The drugs’ ubiquity meant that they were easy to get whether one had a prescription for them or not.

Three decades in, the opioid crisis is no longer mostly white. In recent years, overdose rates have been going up fastest among some racial minorities. They are now highest among Native Americans and in some of the poorest Black urban neighborhoods. This is in part because fentanyl outcompeted heroin everywhere, including the segregated, economically struggling urban neighborhoods where heroin’s prohibition markets had been quarantined by municipal authorities.»

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/11/15/opinion/fentanyl-trump-drug-war.html?unlocked_article_code=1.1U8.FiFB.SHmsE0YLrsBk&smid=url-share (gift)

The New York Times: Trump Administration Demands States ‘Undo’ Work to Send Full Food Stamps

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/11/09/business/trump-administration-states-undo-full-snap-food-stamps.html

Blows my mind how the Trump administration thinks this is a winning position. Do they not realize how many white people need SNAP? Or is this that point where everybody sees that they really don’t care about the lowest economic quintile of the American population AND they don’t care that it’s visible?

https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2013/07/12/the-politics-and-demographics-of-food-stamp-recipients/

https://www.statista.com/statistics/183489/population-of-the-us-by-ethnicity-since-2000/

31% of Black people × Black people are 13% of the population = 4% of the population.

15% of white people × 78% of the population = 12% of the population.

3× as many white people as Black have received SNAP benefits, but they’re in the lowest quintile.

Twice as many Democrats as Republicans.

Maybe the Trump admin knows the lowest quintile is not their voters? Maybe we should stop with the “why would they vote against their own self-interest?” questions? Maybe the Poor People’s Campaign is on to something? (Lots of poor people don’t vote, and if they did, they’d be a huge voting bloc. https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2025/06/26/voter-turnout-2020-2024/)

I wonder if those high-transfer counties that voted for Trump were characterized by lots of poor people who just didn’t vote? https://eig.org/economic-geography-2024/

Literary Hub » Maybe Don’t Talk to the New York Times About Zohran Mamdani

«It’s the rattle of a person going on and professorially on, quite as if the substance of a discipline, or its intellectual trajectory, or even just the nourishing joy of sustained and serious study, mattered at all to the person he was talking to, or to the majestic institution he represents. And honestly, what could be more feeble?

It’s not that those things don’t matter: they absolutely goddamn do, and will keep on mattering, and I wouldn’t go on with the whole tedious business of teaching if I thought otherwise. It’s just that they never mattered much to the Times and they are, to appearances, mattering less and less by the day. I should remember that, and so should you.»

https://lithub.com/maybe-dont-talk-to-the-new-york-times-about-zohran-mamdani/

(Before someone says, “ooh, John, you read Literary Hub?”: no, I don’t, but Memeorandum does, apparently.)

Merz’s fragile coalition buckles under pressure to reform Germany – POLITICO

«During the long 2005-2021 rule of former Chancellor Angela Merkel, Germany’s prosperity rested on three pillars: exports to China, cheap gas from Russia and U.S. protection through NATO. They have all crumbled….

…

The result is a country forced to reinvent itself — but the fear of fringe parties is keeping mainstream politicians frozen, said Sabine Kropp, a political science professor at the Freie Universität Berlin.

“A truly poor approach at the moment is the constant fear of the AfD,” she said. `”Everything is viewed through the lens of whether it benefits or harms the AfD, and that reduces the ability to solve problems.”»

https://www.politico.eu/article/friedrich-merz-fragile-coalition-pressure-reform-germany/

How Xi Walked Away From Trump Trade Talks Looking Stronger – The New York Times

“tactics without a strategy.“ Seems about right.

«a suspension of port fees on Chinese ships and the delay of U.S. export controls that would have barred more Chinese firms from accessing American technology.

…

Some experts said China inevitably had the upper hand in the trade fight because the Trump administration never had a clear objective.

“I think it’s an approach that can safely be described as tactics without a strategy,” said Jonathan Czin, a fellow at the Brookings Institution who previously analyzed Chinese politics at the C.I.A.

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/10/30/world/asia/china-trump-xi-trade.html?unlocked_article_code=1.xU8.c-F1.8Yc9K02Z1dK8&smid=url-share

Some evangelicals are “quietly quitting” Trump and MAGA

«”We know that there’s a lot of really quiet movements that are going on,” Pagitt said.

Dave Gibbons, lead pastor of the multiethnic Newsong Church in Santa Ana, Calif., tells Axios he’s talked with people quietly walking away from MAGA because of the mass deportations.

Reality check: Precisely how many evangelicals are “quietly quitting” MAGA isn’t clear — most don’t announce it publicly for fear of being criticized or harassed online.

Some evangelical church leaders also worry that speaking out — even when citing Scripture about helping strangers — could result in an exodus of members who back Trump, said Gibbons, a former fundamentalist.»

https://www.axios.com/2025/10/29/evangelicals-quietly-quitting-trump-maga

There’s a fair amount of this sort of quietness in (US) Christianity, not just among people de-MAGA-ifying themselves. The progressive Christians just aren’t as loud.

Meanwhile, tons of folks in the social-media-o-sphere continue to caricature Christians. (Granted, a fair number of people calling themselves “Christian” do a pretty good job of caricaturing themselves.)

Indiana and Kansas Republicans resist Trump’s push to redistrict | AP News

Coupla good quotes in here. Here’s one:

«Writing in The Washington Post last week, former Gov. Mitch Daniels, a Republican, urged Indiana lawmakers to resist the push to redistrict. “Someone has to lead in climbing out of the mudhole,” he said.

“Hoosiers, like most Americans, place a high value on fairness and react badly to its naked violation,” he wrote.»

https://apnews.com/article/redistricting-indiana-kansas-trump-pressure-2026-election-506c874ec90c7f68167e0683b207dc41

Politico: Trump’s initial trade deals in Southeast Asia have gone MIA

«The president in July touted agreements with Vietnam, Indonesia and the Philippines as the White House raced to secure as many trade deals as possible before a self-imposed deadline to raise tariffs. But beyond the celebratory social media posts, the White House provided little detail on the terms to lower U.S. duties. The three countries openly disputed some of the things Trump claimed they’d agreed to. And aside from a fact sheet on the Indonesian agreement, the administration has not released further updates in the ensuing months.»

https://www.politico.com/news/2025/10/25/as-trump-heads-to-asia-three-splashy-trade-deals-take-a-back-seat-00622756

Uh huh.

I’m sensing a pattern.