Here Are the Winners From Trump’s Tax Law | WSJ

https://www.wsj.com/economy/trump-tax-cuts-winners-losers-4dbf8fc7?st=ZQNvfn&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink (gift)

«First, some explanations. These charts look only at the law’s tax provisions, not at its reductions to spending on programs such as Medicaid and nutrition assistance, which will tend to affect their lower-income beneficiaries. Tariffs, which weren’t in the law, aren’t part of the calculations. We mostly compare next year’s tax system with what would have happened if Congress had done nothing. This approach most clearly illustrates what lawmakers did, even though they were never likely to let all the tax cuts lapse.»

Bar chart showing change in after-tax income by quintile (by income), ranging from 0.8% for lowest, to 4.4% for the 95th-to-99th percentile.

So. After your “conservative” uncle has raged about his tax burden, all that Sturm und Drang got him a 2-3% change in his after-tax income. He can go roll in his tiny pile of dollars.

Conversely, for a 2-3% bump in taxes (change in post-tax income), we could get 15 million people back on Medicaid, and 5 million more back on SNAP.

(https://www.commonwealthfund.org/publications/issue-briefs/2025/jun/how-medicaid-snap-cutbacks-one-big-beautiful-bill-trigger-job-losses-states#:~:text=The%20Congressional%20Budget%20Office%20(CBO,see%20their%20nutrition%20allotments%20reduced.)

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