https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1278684311529586688?s=20

Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) Tweeted: Throughout this crisis, there’s been evidence that people’s behavior is only loosely tied to a state’s formal degree of openness. So there should perhaps be more explanations rooted in “people thought it was safe/got bored/complacent”; maybe not as simple as “reopened too soon”.