@NateSilver538 on people who don’t understand polls

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/973430788879519744.html

This is a 2-sided problem. Pre 2016, the media overestimated how accurate polling had been all along. It may underestimate it now. Contrary to the media narrative, polls of Brexit and the 2016 US general election were about as accurate as polls had been on average, historically.
Not to say there aren’t challenges; declining response rates are a big issue. But if you’re citing Brexit or 11/8/16 as examples of failure—when polls were off by only a few points, well within theoretical and empirical margins of error—you may not know what you’re talking about.

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